PUBLICATIONS

Available Preprints

  1. Venegas-Aravena, P., Zaccagnino, D. (2025). Large earthquakes are more predictable than smaller ones, https://doi.org/10.31223/X5WH92.
  2. Zaccagnino, D. , Doglioni, C., B-Value Spatial Variability Controlled by Fractal Properties of Faulting in Crustal Volumes, Available at SSRN 5109305.
  3. Matteo Taroni, Simone Barani, Davide Zaccagnino et al. A Physics-Informed Stochastic Model for Long-Term Correlation of Earthquakes, 03 September 2024, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4820676/v1].
  4. Zaccagnino, D., Bruno, O., and Doglioni, C. (2024). A minimal rupture model for earthquake occurrence with implications for the multiscale analysis of physical parameters from the lab to fault systems. 28 October 2024, PREPRINT (Version 2) available at Research Square [https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4616332/v2].

Peer-reviewed publications

  1. Sardeli, E., Michas, G., Pavlou, K., Zaccagnino, D., & Vallianatos, F. (2024). Spatiotemporal properties of the 2020–2021 Petrinja (Croatia) earthquake sequence. Journal of Seismology, 1-22.
  2. Zaccagnino, D., Vallianatos, F., Michas, G., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2024). Are foreshocks fore‐shocks? Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 129, e2023JB027337. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JB027337
  3. Zaccagnino, D., Doglioni, C. (2023). Fault dip vs shear stress gradient. Geosystems and Geoenvironment, 100211.
  4. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., Tan, O., Doglioni, C. (2023). Clustering Analysis of Seismicity in the Anatolian Region with Implications for Seismic Hazard. Entropy, 25, https://doi.org/10.3390/e25060835
  5. Nesi, V., Bruno, O., Zaccagnino, D., Mascia, C., & Doglioni, C. (2023). Tidal drag and westward drift of the lithosphere. Geoscience Frontiers, 101623.
  6. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2023). Global versus local clustering of seismicity: Implications with earthquake prediction. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 170, 113419.
  7. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2022). Variable seismic responsiveness to stress perturbations along the shallow section of subduction zones: The role of different slip modes and implications for the stability of fault segments. Frontiers in Earth Science, 10:989697. doi: 10.3389/feart.2022.989697
  8. Zaccagnino, D., & Doglioni, C. (2022). The impact of faulting complexity and type on earthquake rupture dynamics. Communications Earth & Environment, 3(1), 1-10.
  9. Zaccagnino, D., & Doglioni, C. (2022). Earth’s gradients as the engine of plate tectonics and earthquakes. La Rivista del Nuovo Cimento, 1-81.
  10. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2022). Correlation between seismic activity and tidal stress perturbations highlights growing instability within the brittle crust. Scientific Reports, 12(1), 1-14.
  11. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2022). Scaling properties of seismicity and faulting. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 584, 117511.
  12. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. (2021). Different fault response to stress during the seismic cycle. Applied Sciences, 11(20), 9596.
  13. Zaccagnino, D., Vespe, F., & Doglioni, C. (2020). Tidal modulation of plate motions. Earth-Science Reviews, 205, 103179.

Invited Talks:

  1. Zaccagnino, D., 14/01/2025 “The emergence of collective behaviors in fault systems” (Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale – OGS Udine, Italy)
  2. Zaccagnino, D., 25/11/2024 “The emergence of collective seismic behaviors” (seminar at the INGV, L’Aquila, solicited by Dr. Michele Carafa)
  3. Zaccagnino, D., 14/05/2024 “A theoretical framework for fault-slip styles from aseismic creep to regular earthquakes” (Special ACM Seminar, Division of Engineering and Applied Mathematics, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, California, US)
  4. Zaccagnino, D., 9/05/2023 “Physical modeling of seismicity and its implications for seismic hazard” (Department of Geophysics and Geothermics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Greece)
  5. Zaccagnino, D., 23/03/2023 “From physical modeling to seismic precursors” (HydroQuakes: Pre-Seismic Hydrogeochemical Anomalies, Rome, 1st INGV Congress about potential earthquake precursors, 2023)

Oral presentations at conferences:

  1. Zaccagnino, D., Bruno, O., Doglioni, C. 12/2/2025 “Reconciling laboratory, small and large fault frictional properties” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, Italy, 2025)
  2. Zaccagnino, D., Vallianatos, F., Michas, G., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 25/09/2024 “The narrow path to the discrimination of precursory seismic activity” (XXXIX ESC, Corfu, Greece, 2024)
  3. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 10/06/2024 “Seismic clusters as markers of crustal stability” (Avalanche 2024 Conference, Espoo, Helsinki, Finland, 2024)
  4. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 03/05/2024 “Seismic clusters as markers of crustal stability” (SSA Annual Meeting, Anchorage, Alaska, 2024)
  5. Zaccagnino, D., Vallianatos, F., Michas, G., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 19/04/2024 “What do seismic clusters tell us about fault stability?” (EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, 2024)
  6. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 18/03/2024 “Foreshocks or swarms? Insights from theory and statistical analysis” (STATSEI13, Shenzhen, China, 2024)
  7. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 15/02/2024 “Do not call them foreshocks” (GNGTS, Ferrara, Italy, 2024)
  8. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 14/07/2023 “New clues for seismic hazard from statistical properties of seismicity, rheology and tectonics” (XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG), Berlin, Germany, 2023)
  9. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 24/04/2023 “One to many seismogenic sources: from single earthquakes to seismic sequences” (EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, 2023)
  10. Zaccagnino, D. & Doglioni, C. 24/04/2023 “Oscillating stress loading on the brittle crust and viscous lithosphere” (EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, 2023)
  11. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 20/04/2023 “Why do we need new models of earthquake occurrence?” (SSA Annual Meeting, San Jaun, Puerto Rico, 2023)
  12. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 09/02/2023 “On the relationship between seismogenic sources and statistical features of seismicity” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, 2023)
  13. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 08/02/2023 “Stress pertubations, seismicity and fault stability: an overall view” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, 2023)
  14. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 12/12/2022 “Connecting Local Features of Coseismic Rupture to Large-scale Properties of Seismicity” (AGU Fall Meeting, Chicago, 2022)
  15. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 21/9/2022 “How details of faulting affect large scale properties of seismicity and tectonics” (SGI Congress, Torino, 2022)
  16. Zaccagnino, D. & Doglioni, C. 28/6/2022 “Tectonic style vs double-couple” (GNGTS Conference, Trieste, 2022)
  17. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 26/5/2022 “Assessing crustal stability via fault stress perturbation analysis” (EGU Assembly, Vienna, 2022)
  18. Zaccagnino, D. 15/7/2019 “Nuove prospettive di ricerca su origini e dinamiche dei fenomeni sismici” (SSAS Simposium Conference, 2019)

Posters:

  1. Zaccagnino, D., Li, J., Sornette, D. 14/02/2025 “The UV-divergence problem in statistical seismology: insights from an ETAS model with smoothed minimum triggering magnitude” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, Italy, 2025).
  2. Zaccagnino, D., Carafa, MMC, Doglioni, C. 12/02/2025 “A proposal for the physical modeling of ghost geodetic transients” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, Italy, 2025).
  3. Zaccagnino, D., Doglioni, C. 12/12/2024 “Universal physical mechanisms behind the differences between fault structure-related variability of seismicity”. (Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 2024).
  4. Zaccagnino, D., Bruno, O., Doglioni, C. 12/12/2024 “An attempt for the multiscale modelling of rheological parameters from the laboratory to fault systems”. (Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 2024).
  5. Zaccagnino, D., Doglioni, C. 11/12/2024 “Updates on a possible statistical approach to the identification of preparatory phases of earthquakes”. (Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 2024).
  6. Zaccagnino, D., Doglioni, C. 10//12/2024 “Can spatial stress gradients explain optimal dip angles of active faults?”. (Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 2024).
  7. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 24/09/2024 “Clustering and recurrence intervals of earthquakes: selected cases and analyses” (XXXIX ESC, Corfu, Greece, 2024)
  8. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 15/02/2024 “The role of long-range correlations and memory in earthquake occurrence” (GNGTS, Ferrara, Italy, 2024)
  9. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 14/02/2024 “Possible applications of self-similarity in earthquake clustering to seismic hazard” (GNGTS, Ferrara, Italy, 2024)
  10. Zaccagnino, D., Vallianatos, F., Michas, G., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 12/12/2023 Can foreshocks be discriminated from seismic swarms?” (Annual Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, California, USA, 2023)
  11. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 13/12/2023 “Feedback processes and fault memory as rulers of seismicity” (Annual Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, California, USA, 2023)
  12. Zaccagnino, D. & Doglioni, C. 18/10/2023 “Fault structure-related variability of seismic activity: a result of local geology or universal physical mechanisms?” (Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, 2023)
  13. Zaccagnino, D. & Doglioni, C. 17/10/2023 “A simpler explanation for fault dip angles distribution?” (Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, 2023)
  14. Zaccagnino, D. , Herrero, A.; Stabile, T.A.; Tan, O.; Telesca, L.; Akinci, A. & Doglioni, C. 12/10/2023 “Super-shear cascading rupture envelopes” (Physics-Based Ground Motion Modeling, Seismological Society of America, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, 2023)
  15. Zaccagnino, D. , Stabile, T.A.; Tan, O.; Telesca, L.; Akinci, A. & Doglioni, C. 19/04/2023 “Preliminary Analysis and Model of the Complex Rupture Dynamics Behind the Mw 7.8 and Mw 7.5 Kahramanmaraş Earthquakes in Türkiye” (SSA Annual Meeting, San Jaun, Puerto Rico, 2023)
  16. Zaccagnino, D. & Doglioni, C. 18/04/2023 “Not so planar faults: on the impact of faulting complexity and type on earthquake rupture dynamics” (SSA Annual Meeting, San Jaun, Puerto Rico, 2023)
  17. Zaccagnino, D., & Doglioni, C. 14/12/2022 “Evidence of Westerly Polarized Plate Tectonics” (AGU Fall Meeting, Chicago, 2022)
  18. Zaccagnino, D., Telesca, L., & Doglioni, C. 19/9/2022 “Seismic response to tidal stress perturbations sheds new light on how fault patches become unstable” (SGI Congress, Torino, 2022)

Co-authored presentations and posters:

  1. Barani, S., Taroni, M., Zaccagnino, D., Artale Harris, P., Petrillo, G. “A Physics-Informed Stochastic Model for Long-Term Correlation of Earthquakes”. (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, Italy, 2025).
  2. Venegas-Aravena, P., Zaccagnino, D. “Magnitude-dependent chaos in earthquakes” (GNGTS Meeting, Bologna, Italy, 2025).
  3. Barani, S., Taroni, M., Zaccagnino, D., Artale Harris, P., Petrillo, G. “A Physics-Informed Stochastic Model for Long-Term Correlation of Earthquakes”. (Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 2024, 12/12/2024).
  4. Zaccagnino, D., Doglioni, C., “Why plate and microplate tectonics?” (25/10/2024, Qingdao, China)
  5. Sardeli, E., Zaccagnino, D., Michas, G., Spingos, I., Pavlou, K., Karakonstantis, A., Vallianatos, F., “Statistical properties of the clusters of the Thiva 2020-2022 seismic swarm” (Castrovillari, Italy, 2024)
  6. Vespe, F., , Dousa, J., Doglioni, C., Ficini, E., Masci, O., Nico, G., Nosek, J., Vaclavovic, P., Sottili, G., Zaccagnino, D., Mendes, L., Amarillo-Fernandez, F., 27/08/2024, “GNSS data processed in PPP mode for the Estimation of the Local Solid Earth Tides: Improvements in Geophysical Investigations” (G-ETS, 20th International Symposium on Geodynamics and Earth Tides, Strasbourg, France, 2024)
  7. Vespe, F., Dousa, J., Doglioni, C., Ficini, E., Masci, O., Nico, G., Nosek, J., Vaclavovic, P., Sottili, G., Zaccagnino, D., Mendes, L., Amarillo-Fernandez, F., 18/04/2024 “Local Solid Earth Tides and Their potential use in assessing and forecasting the risk of seismic hazards” (EGU Annual Meeting, Vienna, Austria, 2024)
  8. Nesi, V.; Bruno, O; Zaccagnino, D., Mascia, C & Doglioni, C. 18/10/2023 “Modeling of the westward drift of the lithosphere” (Annual Meeting of the Geological Society of America, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, 2023)
  9. Vespe, F., Dousa, J., Václavovic, P., Nosek, J., Nico, G., Doglioni, C., Zaccagnino, D., … & Amarillo-Fernandez, F 14/07/2023 “Do Solid Earth Tides have a local behaviour? First results from the analysis of 20-year GNSS timeseries” (XXVIII General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG)) GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Berlin, Germany.
  10. Albano, M., Zaccagnino, D., & Doglioni, C. 12/07/2023 “Tectonic constraints as the origin of heterogeneity in seismic style: new analyses and simulations” (XXI INQUA Congress, Rome, Italy, 2023)
  11. Vespe, F., Zaccagnino, D., & Doglioni, C. 6/9/2019 “Do Lunisolar body tides speed up plates?” (7th International Colloquium on Scientific and Fundamental Aspects of GNSS, Zurich, 2019)

Last update: 16/3/2025